Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000885 0.000921 0.000959 0.000999 0.001043 0.001088 0.001137
2025-10-19 0.000823 0.000877 0.000934 0.000998 0.001069 0.001145 0.001233
2025-10-26 0.000772 0.000837 0.000907 0.000989 0.001083 0.001187 0.001312
2025-11-02 0.000737 0.000811 0.000894 0.000992 0.001106 0.001238 0.001402
2025-11-09 0.000701 0.000781 0.000871 0.000981 0.001112 0.001267 0.001465
2025-11-16 0.000669 0.000753 0.000850 0.000969 0.001115 0.001290 0.001521
2025-11-23 0.000657 0.000747 0.000852 0.000985 0.001150 0.001354 0.001629
2025-11-30 0.000639 0.000734 0.000845 0.000988 0.001169 0.001397 0.001713
2025-12-07 0.000616 0.000712 0.000826 0.000975 0.001167 0.001413 0.001761
2025-12-14 0.000593 0.000690 0.000806 0.000959 0.001160 0.001420 0.001796
2025-12-21 0.000576 0.000674 0.000793 0.000952 0.001162 0.001440 0.001850
2025-12-28 0.000548 0.000644 0.000761 0.000918 0.001129 0.001409 0.001828
2026-01-04 0.000535 0.000632 0.000752 0.000915 0.001136 0.001435 0.001891
2026-01-11 0.000522 0.000621 0.000744 0.000912 0.001143 0.001461 0.001956
2026-01-18 0.000509 0.000608 0.000732 0.000904 0.001143 0.001476 0.002006
2026-01-25 0.000500 0.000600 0.000728 0.000905 0.001156 0.001511 0.002087
2026-02-01 0.000487 0.000587 0.000715 0.000896 0.001152 0.001522 0.002130
2026-02-08 0.000474 0.000575 0.000703 0.000885 0.001147 0.001529 0.002169
2026-02-15 0.000472 0.000575 0.000708 0.000899 0.001178 0.001591 0.002300
2026-02-22 0.000465 0.000569 0.000705 0.000902 0.001192 0.001628 0.002393
2026-03-01 0.000454 0.000558 0.000693 0.000891 0.001185 0.001632 0.002429
2026-03-08 0.000442 0.000545 0.000679 0.000877 0.001173 0.001628 0.002449
2026-03-15 0.000434 0.000536 0.000671 0.000870 0.001172 0.001640 0.002500